Monday, January 25, 2016

USDINR Topping Out ??

USDINR  touched a high of 68.14 and seems to making a topping pattern on the Triple Trend Oscillator monthly charts.

With a multi year double top formation at  68-68.50 levels INR is likely to to strengthen from hereon with 69-69.50 being the upper limit for its weakness. After spending sometime in the 67-69 range it is likely to  retrace to 64 levels in the medium term and strengthen further in the long run.

This however is subject  any intervention by RBI and devalue the Indian currency to meet its policy objectives.

USDINR Monthly

The following chart shows how the Brazilian Real  and Russian Ruble  have caught up  which started with the devaluation of INR during 2012 against USD. With  INR leading the way, chances are Indian Rupee will start the  reversal process as it continues to be one of the best performing currencies in 2015.








See our earlier post regarding USDINR : http://eqtrend.blogspot.in/2015/09/the-present-weakness-could-be-last-weak.html