Thursday, October 29, 2015

Divergent Trends Holding Nifty ??

Nifty seems to have got stuck in a 8100 -8300 range since the last 20 days unable to break above 8300 and  frequent sell off after a higher openings leading to weakening of the short term trend.

The trend is likely to continue for sometime as the trend oscillators on TTO exhibit divergent trends across various time frames.  A few good corporate results and positive news flows (whatever little) have been unable to bring cheers, resulting in a lackluster sideways market.

For a robust market multiple trends need a unidirectional alignment, which is missing at present.

The following is the trend position under various time frames :

Hourly : Down. May bottom out at 8100 or 8055. A close below 8055 calls for a review of the entire trend cycle.



Daily : Mildly Up. Halted due to hourly weakness.



Weekly : Neutral. Daily strength yet to translate into weekly strength. It  may take a few more weeks for the strength to return.


Monthly : Neutral with down bias. With the correction complete at 7540 a break above the down sloping channel at 8400 gives a min. target of 9200. This  is also the long term target based on wave equality (wave 1= wave 5). The possibility of higher targets can be assessed based on the trend positions once min. target is achieved.