Monday, June 23, 2014

Nifty Breaks H&S

As early as 11th June, we had predicted a sideways move in Nifty till budget with limited upside.

Nifty continued to drift sideways as predicted, since the last 12 days in a consolidation pattern and broke through the support at 7480 to go below 7450 on intraday basis. However, with a quick  rebound it managed to close above 7480 giving a hope  that level will be protected on closing basis.

Nifty  has earlier broken through the H&S formation on hourly chart  at 7550 which gives it a downside target of  7300 in the next few days till expiry, unless the pattern is negated  by a close above 7550.

In an alternative scenario, Nifty may continue to drift in a sideways channel and rebound to touch 7600 once again (the blue channel). In this case, there is a possibility of Nifty touching the extended H&S neckline at 7600 and fall thereafter to touch the H&S target of 7300.